share: Dramaraja blogspot: MH370: Suatu Misteri

Assalamualaikum dan Salam Sejahtera.

Bismillahirrahmanirrahim. Selawat dan Salam ke atas Junjungan Besar Baginda Rasulullah SAWAW serta sekalian Ahli Baitnya. Dan dengan merekalah kita senantiasa beroleh syafaat dan manfaat baik dunia mahupun akhirat. Semoga terungkai segala misteri yang terbuku di alam Nusantara ini, Amiin.

Ini adalah artikel pertama saya yang ditulis di blog selepas beberapa hari tragedi kehilangan pesawat MH370 dilaporkan pihak media. Sejak 8 Mac sehingga kini, saya diasak bertalu-talu.Inbox saya tidak putus-putus menerima pelbagai mesej dan email daripada orang yang dikenali dan tidak dikenali berkenaan MH370.

Akhirnya saya membuat keputusan untuk menulisnya di wall facebook saya secara peribadi. Setelah beberapa siri artikel saya tulis di facebook, saya kira ia amatlah terhad dan kini setelah hampir 1 minggu kes ini berjalan, saya tergerak untuk menulis artikel ini di sebuah blog baru dan bukannya di blog bradokapak sendiri. Sila pastikan sebelum anda membaca artikel berikut, lengkapkan pengetahuan asas mengenai kes MH370 terlebih dahulu agar memudahkan anda untuk memahami situasi yang hendak diceritakan. Jika belum ada pengetahuan asasnya, boleh baca disini.

Tanpa melengahkan masa, saya nukilkan artikel saya seperti berikut....

MH370: Suatu Misteri

*Amaran Keras! Jangan baca jika anda tidak mampu untuk berfikir secara rasional dan waras. Jangan baca jika anda mempunyai tahap kepercayaan yang rendah dalam perkara baru. Artikel ini mungkin akan menyebabkan otak anda berfikir diluar kawalan dan ada unsur-unsur yang tidak dapat diterima logik akal manusia biasa. Saya tidak bertanggungjawab sekiranya anda mengalami masalah peribadi setelah membaca artikel ini. Ini hanyalah informasi yang dapat saya sampaikan diselingkan dengan teori saya serta teori rakan-rakan yang berjaya saya kutip daripada mereka.

1. Sebuah pesawat Boeng 777-200 penerbangan MH370 telah dilaporkan berlepas daripada Kuala Lumpur Airport (KUL) pada sekitar tengah malam 7 Mac 2014. Selang beberapa jam selepas itu, radar kawalan terputus hubungan dengan pesawat. Selang beberapa jam selepas itu, enjin Roll Royce 1 kipas yang terdapat dalam MH370 juga berhenti memberikan laporan enjin pada sekitar jam 1 pagi 8 Mac 2014.

MH370: India scours uninhabited jungle islands for lost MH370 jetliner

Indian aircraft combed Andaman and Nicobar, made up of more than 500 mostly uninhabited islands, for signs of the missing Malaysia Airlines MH370 jetliner that evidence suggests was last headed towards the heavily forested archipelago.

Popular with tourists and anthropologists alike, the islands form India's most isolated state. They are best known for dense rainforests, coral reefs and hunter-gatherer tribes who have long resisted contact with outsiders.

The search for flight MH370 turned west toward the islands after Malaysia's air force chief said military radar had detected an unidentified aircraft suspected to be the lost Boeing 777 to the west of Malaysia early on Saturday.

Two sources yesterday told Reuters the unidentified aircraft appeared to be following a commonly used navigational route that would take it over the islands.

The Indian navy has deployed two Dornier planes to fly across the island chain, a total area of 720 km by 52 km, Indian military spokesman Harmeet Singh said in the state capital, Port Blair. So far the planes, and a helicopter searching the coast, had found nothing.

"This operation is like finding a needle in a haystack," said Singh, who is the spokesman for joint air force, navy and army command in the Andaman and Nicobar islands.

The Defence Ministry said the Eastern Naval Command would also search across a new area measuring 15 km by 600 km along the Chennai coast in the Bay of Bengal.

The shape of this area, located 900 km west of Port Blair, suggested the search was focusing on a narrow flight corridor.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei said China appreciated India's search efforts. Most of the passengers on Flight MH370 are Chinese.

The 2004 tsunami devastated much of Andaman and Nicobar. In the wake of that disaster, a member of the reclusive Sentinelese tribe was photographed firing arrows at an Indian coastguard helicopter.

Another nomadic tribe, the Jarawa, are increasingly in contact with outsiders. Tribal rights group Survival accuses travel agencies of organising "human safari" tours to view the Jarawa, who are fish and turtle hunters and number about 400.

On standby is India's most advanced maritime air surveillance plane, the P-8I Poseidon, a long range anti-submarine variant of the US Navy's P-8A. India, the first overseas customer for the aircraft, has ordered eight P-8Is.

Indian ships are also helping the search by more than a dozen nations for the missing plane, one of the most baffling mysteries in the history of modern aviation. The ships are searching an area north of Sumatra, in the south Andaman Sea.

Andaman and Nicobar is of strategic importance for India, because of its location near the busy Malacca Straits shipping route. Over the past decade, India has built up its military presence on the islands with the joint command. – Reuters,

MH370: An 18th century maths equation may hold answer to finding missing plane, say scientists

Scientists believe the solution to finding Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 may lie with a mathematical equation.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, they say that Bayes' Theorem, an 18th century mathematical equation, could help to locate the missing plane which dozens of authorities worldwide have not been able to after five days of search and rescue operations.

“It’s a very short, simple equation that says you can start out with hypothesis about something - and it doesn’t matter how good the hypothesis is,” said Sharon Bertsch McGrayne, who has authored a book explaining the method in layman's language, The Theory That Would Not Die.

And the hypothesis is subject to change, based on probability, but can still be used with the theorem. Pretty much based on the concept of learning from experience, one can say.

It is because of this character of the formula - forcing researchers to change their hypothesis with each new information - that the probability becomes more accurate.

According Lawrence D. Stone, chief scientist at Virginia-based consultancy Metron whose help was sought to apply Bayes’ Theorem in the Air France incident, Bayes’ Theorem “allows the organisation of available data with associated uncertainties and computation of the PDF (probability distribution function) for target location given these data".

In the past, Bayes’ Theorem, said to be discovered by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s and modernised by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace, had helped locate German U-boats during World War II and spot Soviet submarines during the Cold War. More recently, it is used in Google's "driverless cars" project and in stock market predictions.

Advocates of this theory said it was also used in the search for the black box of the ill-fated Air France flight 447, which crashed in the vast Atlantic Ocean in June 2009.

What took two years for other experts in the search for the black box, took only five days for consultants who applied the Bayes’ Theorem, to finally find the device 12,000 feet under water.

Stone told Al Jazeera that in the current search for flight MH370, it is “highly unlikely” that Bayes’ Theorem is being applied.

That is not to suggest it is totally absent.

Bayes' Theorem is pervasive, and those involved in the current search have applied a certain Bayesian flavour in their search, "but it then got upset when their prior calculations were incorrect,” said statistician Professor Bradley Efron of Stanford University, as quoted by Al Jazeera, referring to the conclusion by Malaysian authorities that the MAS plane could have ended up in the Strait of Malacca.

Bayes' Theorem, after all, is all about learning from experience, which is probably why Efron said one would need "reasonably accurate past experiences" for the theorem to work. In other words, to calculate accurately to locate the plane.

@Malaysian Insider

MH370: Chinese researchers say ‘seafloor event’ may have been linked to MH370

Chinese researchers have detected a “seafloor event” near the waters between Malaysia and Vietnam, an area suspected to be linked to the missing MH370 jetliner, reported Xinhua.

The event occurred about one and a half hours after the plane’s last definitive sighting on civilian radar, a research group on seismology and physics from the University of Science and Technology of China was quoted as saying.

The research group told the Chinese news agency that the area – which is 116 km northeast from where the last contact with the Boeing plane was recorded – was a non-seismic region.

"The seafloor event could have been caused by the plane possibly plunging into the sea," said the group.

Xinhua reported that the location of the event was identified based on records of two seismographs located in Malaysia.

"If the data is proved to be linked to the missing flight, the strength of the earthquake wave indicates the plunge was catastrophic," the research group told Xinhua. 

@Malaysia Insider

MH370: Radar data suggests MH370 plane flown deliberately toward Andaman Islands

Military radar-tracking evidence suggests that the Malaysia Airlines MH370 jetliner missing for nearly a week was deliberately flown across the Malay peninsula toward the Andaman Islands, sources familiar with the investigation told Reuters today.

Two sources said an unidentified aircraft that investigators believe was Flight MH370 was following a route between navigational waypoints – indicating it was being flown by someone with aviation training – when it was last plotted on military radar off the country's northwest coast.

The last plot on the military radar's tracking suggested the plane was flying toward India's Andaman Islands, a chain of isles between the Andaman Sea and the Bay of Bengal, they said.

Waypoints are geographic locations, worked out by calculating longitude and latitude, that help pilots navigate along established air corridors.

A third source familiar with the investigation said inquiries were focusing increasingly on the theory that someone who knew how to fly a plane deliberately diverted the flight, with 239 people on board, hundreds of miles off its intended course from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing.

"What we can say is we are looking at sabotage, with hijack still on the cards," said that source, a senior Malaysian police official.

All three sources declined to be identified because they were not authorised to speak to the media and due to the sensitivity of the investigation.

Officials at the Ministry of Transport, the official point of contact for information on the investigation, did not return calls seeking comment.

Malaysian police have previously said they were investigating whether any passengers or crew had personal or psychological problems that might shed light on the mystery, along with the possibility of a hijacking, sabotage or mechanical failure.

The comments by the three sources are the first clear indication that foul play is the main focus of official suspicions in the Boeing 777's disappearance.

As a result of the new evidence, the sources said, multinational search efforts were being stepped up in the Andaman Sea and also the Indian Ocean.

In one of the most baffling mysteries in modern aviation, no trace of the plane or any sign of wreckage has been found despite a search by the navies and military aircraft of more than a dozen countries.

The last sighting of the aircraft on civilian radar screens came shortly before 1:30 am last Saturday, less than an hour after it took off from Kuala Lumpur, as the plane flew northeast across the mouth of the Gulf of Thailand. That put the plane on Malaysia's east coast.

Malaysia's air force chief said on Wednesday an aircraft that could have been the missing plane was plotted on military radar at 2:15 am, 320 km northwest of Penang Island off Malaysia's west coast.

This position marks the limit of Malaysia's military radar in that part of the country, a fourth source familiar with the investigation told Reuters.

When asked about the range of military radar at a news conference on Thursday, Malaysian Transport Minister Hishammuddin Hussein said it was "a sensitive issue" that he was not going to reveal.

"Even if it doesn't extend beyond that, we can get the cooperation of the neighbouring countries," he said.

The fact that the aircraft - if it was MH370 - had lost contact with air traffic control and was invisible to civilian radar suggested someone aboard had turned its communication systems off, the first two sources said.

They also gave new details on the direction in which the unidentified aircraft was heading - following aviation corridors identified on maps used by pilots as N571 and P628. These routes are taken by commercial planes flying from Southeast Asia to the Middle East or Europe and can be found in public documents issued by regional aviation authorities.

In a far more detailed description of the military radar plotting than has been publicly revealed, the first two sources said the last confirmed position of MH370 was at 35,000 feet about 144 km off the east coast of Malaysia, heading towards Vietnam, near a navigational waypoint called "Igari". The time was 1:21 am.

The military track suggests it then turned sharply westwards, heading towards a waypoint called "Vampi", northeast of Indonesia's Aceh province and a navigational point used for planes following route N571 to the Middle East.

From there, the plot indicates the plane flew towards a waypoint called "Gival", south of the Thai island of Phuket, and was last plotted heading northwest towards another waypoint called "Igrex", on route P628 that would take it over the Andaman Islands and which carriers use to fly towards Europe.

The time was then 2:15 am. That's the same time given by the air force chief on Wednesday, who gave no information on that plane's possible direction.

The sources said Malaysia was requesting raw radar data from neighbours Thailand, Indonesia and India, which has a naval base in the Andaman Islands. – Reuters

Missing MH370 plane could have landed on a runway based on data, says journalist

Could Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 have landed on a runway in a remote area somewhere?

Wall Street Journal airline industry reporter Andy Pasztor said in an interview with Here & Now’s Jeremy Hobson that while it is not clear where the plane is, the consensus among US investigators is that the plane did not crash but had landed on a runway.

He said that data had indicated that the plane remained intact and flew for up to four hours and during that time it could have landed.

"Satellite transmissions indicated that it could have landed for some period, perhaps a short period," he told Hobson.

Pasztor had created a stir worldwide with his story that missing Malaysian Airlines flight 370 could have flown for four more hours after its last confirmed contact, based on information routinely relayed from its Rolls Royce engines.

Pasztor said that while it was not clear what had happened on the plane, something weird and bizarre had happened in the cockpit and the plane did not drop out of the sky.

"What the pilot or someone else was doing is unclear but data indicated that the plane was intact and that it could have landed," he said in the radio interview which is available on Here & Now’s website.

Asked by Hobson about the denial by Acting Transport Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein on his earlier report that the plane could have flown for up to another four hours based on data routinely sent from its Rolls Royce engine, Pasztor said what the Malaysian authorities were denying was that the information was from the engine monitoring system.

"What I am saying is that there are other sources of information, and so far they have not denied the central point, that is the plane could have gone on for up to four hours before it dropped out of the sky."

When asked by Hobson what he thought of Malaysia's handling of the crisis, Pasztor said it was a difficult situation due to the investigation's high profile and complex nature.

However, he said the Malaysian authorities tend to contradict themselves.

"The Malaysians have had a pattern of saying one thing one day and saying something the next.

“They are giving contradicting statements and they had not done the best job of getting organised," Pasztor said in the interview, adding that as of now, the authorities are not sure of whether the plane is on land or in the sea.

Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 transmitted its location repeatedly to satellites in the space of five hours after it disappeared, the Wall Street Journal had reported earlier today.

It said MH370 sent a series of “pings” about its speed and altitude, the paper quoted people briefed on the matter as saying.

This comes as the search for the missing jet expanded to the Indian Ocean today.

The paper added that “the final ping was sent from over water, at what one of these people called a normal cruising altitude”. No one could explain why the final pings stopped.

The unaccountable four hours of possible flying time necessitated the search and rescue operations to expand their coverage to the Indian Ocean. – March 14, 2014.

@Malaysian Insider

MH370: China demands improvement in search efforts

BEIJING: China is putting pressure on Malaysia to improve its coordination over the search for the Boeing 777 which disappeared on a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing on Saturday.

Of the 239 people on board, up to 154 are Chinese.

Premier Li Keqiang demanded a step up in coordination while China’s civil aviation chief said he wanted a ‘smoother’ flow of information from Malaysia, which has been heavily criticised for its handling of the incident.

“We won’t give up as long as there is a shred of hope, and we urge Malaysia not to miss any clue and speed up search and rescue work,” Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang said.

The Shanghai Daily quoted Qin as saying: “We hope to enhance communication with Malaysia and strengthen coordination with search and rescue ships from other countries.”

Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 was en route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing early on Saturday with 239 people on board, including 154 Chinese nationals, when the Boeing 777-200 vanished from radar screens.

The multinational search entered its seventh day on Friday.

Nearly 40 aircraft and 42 ships from 12 countries and regions, including China, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam, are scouring the waters around the jet’s last known location, but no substantive clues have been found. China has sent eight ships and several aircraft to help with the search.

Malaysia Airlines said search efforts have been extended to land.

A Chinese work team sent to Kuala Lumpur headed by Guo Shaochun, deputy director of consular affairs at the Foreign Ministry, held a three-hour meeting on Wednesday with the Chinese passengers’ family members who arrived in the Malaysian capital.

Guo called on Malaysia to provide timely and accurate information to the family members, saying that items of information from various sources are quite complicated and sometimes contradictory.

“The Chinese work team requires a smooth flow of information be maintained. We will not leave until the aircraft is located,” Guo said.

Relatives in Beijing and Kuala Lumpur have been frustrated by a lack of accurate information.

Authorities have not ruled out any possible cause for the plane’s disappearance, including mechanical failure, pilot error, sabotage and terrorism.

-@Agencies

MH370 hilang di alam jin?

PETALING JAYA: Kehilangan MH370 sebagai suatu yang misteri, tulis Naib Presiden PAS, Datuk Tuan Ibrahim Tuan Man menerusi facebook.

“Apakah mungkin objek di alam manusia boleh memasuki alam jin, sehingga ia hilang dari pandangan mata manusia dan alat pengesan manusia seperti radar, GPS dan lain-lain,” ujarnya.

Ini, katanya kita biasa mendengar kehilangan misteri manusia beberapa hari, sehingga ia ‘kembali’ semula ke alam manusia.

“Ia bukanlah satu perkara pelik, sama ada kita ingin mempercayainya atau tidak.

“Namun hakikat yang kita wajib percaya wujudnya alam jin dan alam malaikat di sebalik alam manusia ini,” ujarnya.

Justeru, tanya beliau apakah mustahil sesuatu objek memasuki alam tersebut, sehingga ia kembali atau terus hilang tanpa dapat dikesan.

“Semuanya dalam kekuasaan Allah. Maka sebagai hamba Allah, jangan putus asa, memohon, merayu dan berdoa. Di saat ini jauhi perbuatan khurafat dan kepercayaan karut.

“Jauhi tukang-tukang telek, ahli-ahli nujum dan mereka yang sanggup melakukan perbuatan khurafat dan syirik untuk menjadi ‘hero’ dalam merungkai misteri ini,” tulisnya lagi.

@http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com

MH370: US taking back seat in MH370 inquiry, says New York Times

The best information about the missing flight MH370 is probably in the hands of American officials who are in Malaysia assisting the investigation but they are keeping mum, the New York Times reported.

In a twist, some of the world's foremost experts on crash investigations, radar and the inner workings of the Boeing 777-200ER are in but they are here – technically – only to assist Putrajaya.

The paper, however, said they were “being scrupulously low-key”.

If a similar event happened in the United States, they would be gathering information from different parties and knitting it togKuala Lumpur ether into a progress report.

But in the case of the missing Malaysia Airlines jet, the Americans had not assumed such a role. It said information was dribbling out, sometimes in contradictory fashion, from the government, the airline and the military. – March 14, 2014

MH370: Seismic event turns focus back to Vietnam waters

The search for the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 appears to be shifting back and forth between east and west of peninsula Malaysia, with latest information from scientists in China suggesting that the plane may have triggered a seismic event when it impacted the sea some 150km off the southern tip of Vietnam.

A team of seismologists at a top China research university said they detected a slight seismic event on the sea floor between Vietnam and Malaysia on March 8 which could be a result of an impact.

"It was a non-seismic zone, therefore judging from the time and location of the event, it might be related to the missing MH370 flight," said a statement posted on the University of Science and Technology of China website.

The issue was also reported by the South China Morning Post .

This comes as US officials begin to set their eyes in the Indian Ocean after almost a week of futile search in the South China Sea, citing indications that the plane may have turned around after losing communication and flown on westwards for several hours.

@Malaysia Kini

US has ‘indication’ lost MH370 crashed in Indian Ocean, moving ship for search

United States officials have an "indication" the missing flight MH370 may have crashed in the Indian Ocean and is moving the USS Kidd to the area to begin searching, ABC News reported early today.

It will take another 24 hours to move the ship into position in the vast sea on the west coast of the Malay peninsula, a senior Pentagon official told the US television station.

"We have an indication the plane went down in the Indian Ocean," the senior official was quoted as saying about the search for the lost Malaysia Airlines (MAS) passenger jet, which disappeared last Saturday.

The Pentagon official said the US was moving the USS Kidd destroyer northwest through the Straits of Malacca toward the Indian Ocean, to an area recently searched by US surveillance aircraft, P-3C Orion, which can cover 1,000-1,500 square miles every hour.

The official said there were indications that the plane flew four or five hours after disappearing from radar and that they believe it went into the water. But Malaysia has knocked down the theory,saying both Malaysian Airlines and Rolls Royce have said that the bursts of engine data ended at 1.07am o Saturday, some 20 minutes before it vanished from civilian radar systems.

The US action came hours after Malaysian officials said they had extended their search into the Andaman Sea and had requested help from India in the search for the missing Boeing 777-200ER and its 239 passengers. Meanwhile, a spokesman for the Indian foreign ministry told Bloomberg that India's search team was asked to explore “very specific coordinates in the Andaman Sea”.

Malaysian investigators also said that US officials gave them reasons to keep searching the waters west of Malaysia, far from the flight path of the plane.

Defence Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein said the search’s “main focus has always been in the South China Sea”, which is east of Malaysia and along the plane’s route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing.

But the search was extended earlier this week to include water far to the west on the other side of Malaysia following the Royal Malaysian Air Force (RMAF) radar recording which showed an aircraft had flown over the Malay peninsula towards the Andaman Sea.

It has not been confirmed if the tracked aircraft was the Malaysia Airlines wide-body Boeing aircraft.

“We are working very closely with the FAA and the NTSB on the issue of a possible air turn back,” Hishammuddin had said, referring to the US Federal Aviation Administration and National Transportation Safety Board.

“They have indicated to us that based on the information given by the Malaysian authorities, they — being the FAA and NTSB — the US team was of the view that there was reasonable ground for the Malaysian authorities to deploy resources to conduct search on the western side of the peninsula of Malaysia.

"Under the circumstances, it is appropriate to conduct the search even if the evidence suggests there is a possibility of finding a minor evidence to suggest that ... the aircraft would have been there,” said Hishammuddin, who is also acting Transport Minister.

Hishammuddin said it was possible the plane kept flying after dropping off of radar. "Of course, this is why we have extended the search," he said.

The Malaysians spent much of Thursday's news conference dismissing earlier leads.

"I’ve heard of many incidents from many sources. Like we have said from the start, we have looked at every lead and in most cases — in fact in all cases — that we have pursued, we have not found anything positive," Hishammuddin said.

He said that pictures of three large objects floating in the South China Sea posted Wednesday on a Chinese government website were not debris from the missing plane.

"A Malaysian maritime enforcement agency surveillance plane was dispatched this morning to investigate potential debris shown on Chinese satellite images.

"We deployed assets, but found nothing. We have contacted the Chinese Embassy who notified us this afternoon the images were released by mistake and did not show any debris from MH370," he said.

Hishammuddin also dismissed a report by the Wall Street Journal that signals sent by the plane's Rolls Royce engine indicated the plane kept flying for up to five hours.

He did not dispute the plane could have kept flying, but said Rolls-Royce did not receive any signals from the engine after it vanished from radar.

Earlier in the search, two oil slicks were determined to not be from the plane and an orange object thought to be part of the plane's door was investigated and found to be unrelated

@Malaysian Insider

MH370 data link, transponder shut separately, could be deliberate, US believes

The United States believes that the shutdown of two communications systems on missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 occurred separately, indicating that it may have been a deliberate act, ABC News reported today, although other American officials said the Boeing 777-200ER had sent data for another four hours after vanishing from radar screens

According to the report, two US officials said that they believe the data reporting system was shut down at 1.07am, while the transponder was shut down at 1.21am on Saturday, when the flight carrying 239 people vanished from radar screens.

"This indicates that it may well have been a deliberate act," ABC news aviation consultant John Nance reportedly said.

The transponder is the device that transmits location and altitude.

The report said the US team is convinced that there was manual intervention, and that it was likely not an accident or malfunction, that caused the plane to go missing from the sky.

Earlier, it was reported that satellites had picked up faint electronic pulses from the Beijing-bound flight, after it went missing on Saturday, but the signals gave no information about where the stray jet was heading.

The United States, which is part of an international search for the missing jetliner, had also said that the search area may soon expand into the Indian Ocean, consistent with the theory that the plane may have detoured to the west about an hour after take-off from Kuala Lumpur.

From data supplied by Malaysian authorities, the US believes missing flight MH370 was flying for another four hours after contact was lost with it.

Contact is usually maintained through the Aircraft Communications Addressing & Reporting System, or ACARS, which allows the plane to maintain contact with ground stations via radio or satellite.

These unaccountable four hours of possible flying time necessitated the search and rescue operations to expand their coverage to cover the Indian Ocean too. 

@Malaysian insider

MH370:Rare but sometimes, plane crash sites are not found, says aviation expert

If efforts to find the missing flight MH370 fail as the search enters its first week, it might be that the crash site simply cannot be found, says a former aviation safety and security writer.

Citing a 1972 crash involving a Pan Alaska Airways flight, Sylvia Adcock, writing in CNN’s website, said a Cessna took off from Anchorage bound for Juneau in bad weather. The plane never arrived.

The search for the missing aircraft was intense and covered an area of 325,000 square miles, with up to 3,600 flight hours involved in the search for the wreckage. It was never found and the search was called off 39 days later.

On the Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777-200ER which went missing on Saturday with 239 onboard, Adcock noted that Chinese satellites had captured images of what appeared to be a crash site.

But Vietnamese and Malaysian planes that searched the area in the South China Sea yesterday found no sign of wreckage of the Boeing 777.

“Such images are rare, and typically, when a plane goes down in a remote area with no witnesses, one of the most crucial tools available to investigators is radar,” Adcock said, adding that there were basically two ways to find a missing plane – radar and pilot communication.

Radar might pick up debris raining down from an in-flight explosion or it could rely on a plane's transponder to rely information on a plane’s flight and its altitude, she said.

Flight MH370’s transponder stopped relaying data about 45 minutes after it left the Kuala Lumpur International Airport at 12.41am.

“At first, the search area focused on the plane's intended flight path, as officials went on the assumption that the plane did not change course,” Adcock said.

It was earlier reported that American investigators suspected the plane flew for four hours after its last known contact with air traffic control at 1.30am, but Malaysia has since rejected this report.

Adcock said military radar could have tracked “unidentified targets that could have been Flight 370 heading west towards the Strait of Malacca and possibly beyond” but without the jet’s transponder, the military could not identify the plane or give an altitude.

“It's possible for a plane to literally fly under the radar” because coverage might not extend all the way to the surface. If that was the case, the plane simply remains undetected.

The Boeing 777 is large and for it to “disappear”, Adcock said, the search area which expanded this morning to include the Indian Ocean, “does not bode well for the likelihood of finding the plane”.

Today, Reuters reports that ships and aircraft are combing a vast area that had already been widened to cover both sides of the peninsula and the Andaman Sea.

The United States Navy has sent an advanced P-8A Poseidon plane to help search the Strait of Malacca and it had deployed a navy P-3 Orion aircraft to those waters.

US defence officials added that its guided-missile destroyer, USS Kidd, was heading to the Strait of Malacca, answering a request from Putrajaya. The Kidd had been searching the areas south of the Gulf of Thailand, along with the destroyer USS Pinckney.

“It's almost impossible to simply crisscross such a large area in low-flying planes and boats,” said John Griffin, an associate professor at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University who specialises in air traffic control. He was commenting in Adcock’s CNN article.

"It's a monumental task," Griffin said. "It's a vast area. There's a lot of terrain there, remote areas where the plane could have crashed."

All international flights are required to have an Emergency Locator Transmitter (ELT) but it is unclear if flight MH370 had the device onboard.

If it did have an ELT, it hasn't been detected, which indicates that the plane had crashed in such a remote location that its signal was out of range or that the device malfunctioned or that it landed somewhere, said Adcock.

"But then you get into how do you hide a 777," Griffin said. "This is a serious aircraft." – March 14, 2014.

@Malaysian Insider

Teori pesawat MH370 dirampas semakin kuat

KUALA LUMPUR: Adakah pesawat MH370 milik penerbangan Malaysia dirampas dan ‘dibawa lari’ ke lokasi yang tidak diketahui?

Kemungkinan itu sedang disiasat agensi perisikan Amerika Syarikat, lapor  Wall Street Journal, edisi 13 Mac lalu.

Wartawan akhbar tersebut, Andy Pasztor dan Jon Ostrower mendedahkan hasil penyiasatan agensi perisikan Amerika Syarikat ke atas kehilangan misteri MH370.

Antara hasil siasatan adalah MH370 telah terbang selama 5 jam, iaitu satu jam sebelum ia hilang dari radar Trafik Kawalan Udara Vietnam pada jam 1.30 pagi Sabtu, 8 Mac 2014 dan 4 jam lagi selepas itu.

Para penyiasat juga mengkaji kemungkinan kapal terbang itu telah mendarat di suatu lokasi yang tidak diketahui dengan juruterbang atau orang lain dari kalangan penumpang telah mengubah haluan kapal terbang dan mematikan alat transponder kapal terbang itu bagi mengelakkan dikesan radar. 

Penyiasatan masih di peringkat awal dan para penyiasat belum lagi menemui bukti-bukti jelas untuk menyokong teori  bahawa kapal terbang itu dirampas pengganas atau disabotaj.

Pegawai-pegawai dari jabatan keselamatan nasional Amerika Syarikat dilapor belum menemui sesuatu yang spesifik untuk menyimpulkan bahawa kapal terbang itu dirampas oleh pengganas.

Namun, mereka belum lagi menolak secara konklusif bahawa kehilangan MH370 sama sekali tidak ada kena mengena dengan keganasan, lapor akhbar tersebut.

Dua persoalan yang amat membingungkan para penyiasat adalah ke mana kapal terbang itu meneruskan penerbangan dan mengapa alat transpondernya dimatikan? 

Ini menyebabkan timbulnya teori di kalangan penyiasat bahawa kapal terbang itu telah “diambilalih dan dikuasai” oleh pihak lain untuk tujuan tertentu.

Teori ini dimaklumkan kepada pegawai jabatan keselamatan nasional Amerika Syarikat  dan pelbagai agensi berkaitan.

Sehingga 12 Mac, tiada sebarang maklumat diperolehi bagi menunjukkan kapal terbang itu telah tiba di suatu lokasi lain - mungkin beratus-ratus batu dari lokasi di mana gerakan mencari dan menyelamat sedang berjalan.

Juga tidak diketahui sama ada kapal itu telah terhempas.

Sementara itu Washington Post melaporkan, bukti pesawat MH370 terbang selama empat jam lagi selepas hilang pada Sabtu datang daripada data yang dikongsi oleh pihak berkuasa Malaysia dan bukan pembuat enjin Rolls Royce.

Jurucakap White House, Jay Carney berkata pihak berkuasa akan memperluaskan pencarian Boeing 777-200ER ke Lautan Hindi, melebarkan kawasan pencarian beratus kilometer ke barat.

Pegawai pentadbiran Barack Obama kemudiannya berkata, maklumat terbaru adalah mengenai enjin pesawat terus hidup empat jam selepas hilang daripada radar awal pagi Sabtu dalam perjalanan dari Kuala Lumpur ke Beijing. Terdapat 239 orang dalam pesawat tersebut.

@harakah daily

MH370: Was Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 Redirected to Diego Garcia?

After turning off its transponder, Flight 370 turned around and headed to the direction of Diego Garcia.

It has now become fairly evident that the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing is not accidental. In fact, there is a strong possibility that the flight was commandeered to the US military base at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. A bizarre “extraordinary rendition“?

Why did Flight 370 try to hide its whereabouts?

MH370 was a 777-200 service carrying 239 passenger and crew on a regular Kuala Lumpur to Beijing service. To recap, it left KL at 12.40 am, it disappeared as a commercial radar trace at 1.22 am close to the area where such radar visibility to the Malaysia air traffic control system drops off, and was never observed as entering Vietnam controlled air space on a path intended to cross that country to the South China Sea and continue past Hong Kong toward its destination.

The transponders on Flight 370 was switched off immediately after it was outside the visibility of Malaysia’s air traffic control! To quote a poster GarageYears on a forum for professional pilots,

Turning off the transponder isn’t just a toggle or push-button, the switch is a rotary and you’d have to move it two positions to get it into the standby condition.

This could only have been done by a compromised crew, or by hijackers. To quote another forum member Tfor2,

1. It was a hi-jack (transponder turned off, no Mayday), and the plane was not under the control of the pilots. It flew to wherever was demanded, and something happened thereafter causing it to crash, probably from an effort to regain control (as with United 93 during events of 9/11). So it could be anywhere. An eye-witness will eventually come forward.

2. The most fearsome worry to come out of this is how come an aircraft can invade national territory without military or civil or satellite detection? This leaves a hole in the defense systems of all countries.

To quote a professional A330 pilot,

I think the flight deck was compromised.

But that’s not the only sign that Flight 370 was trying to hide its whereabouts. Immediately after shutting off its transponders, Flight 370 made a U-turn and headed in the direction of Diego Garcia, crossing Malaysia in the process. If there indeed had been a massive technical failure, the crew would have tried to safely ditch the plane at sea, not return to Malaysia. And if there had been a cabin decompression, the plane would have slowly lost altitude, crashing into the Gulf of Thailand. Malaysia’s Air Force Chief General Rodzali Daud first raised the possibility that the plane had reversed course the very next day (9th March), and he was quoted by a Malay-language paper as saying the  jet had been tracked hundreds of miles from its intended flight path, over the  Strait of Malacca off western Malaysia, and up to 320 kilometres northwest of the  Malaysian state of Penang, after which it either disappeared or Malaysian radar lost capability to track it. It was clearly flying low, as if to avoid detection by radar.

General Daud’s statement was clearly not expected, as all the concerned governments were vigorously pedalling the notion that the plane was lost in the Gulf of Thailand, and all search and rescue efforts got misdirected to the plane’s intended route. The Communist Vietnamese government even produced some eyewitnesses that testified seeing a plane flying low off their coast. There were repeated attempts to identify any piece of floating debris in the vicinity as that of Flight 370. When mainstream media picked up General Daud’s very credible statement, he was pressured into retracting it, and has now issued a formal retraction. America’s biggest trading client, Communist China, also expressed irritation at the Malaysian government over the “confusion.” It is clear that such misdirection could not have been possible without the involvement of highly placed Malaysian officials. Nevertheless, General Daud’s statement has altered the direction of the search, which now focuses on the Andaman Sea, instead of the Gulf of Thailand. It seems there were desperate attempts to keep the search away from the West Coast of Malaysia. For example, an oil rig worker on the Vietnam coast claimed to have seen a fiery object, but the report later turned out to be untrue. To quote,

To quote another poster Frenchwalker on the same aforementioned forum,

Just to point out on some of the information provided by the Malaysian military last night around its last know position, more so around the fact the the aircraft descended to around 3000ft would this simply be to maintain Visual Flight Rules , cloud base in Kuala Lumpur usually sits between 3000ft and 10,000ft

this would indicate the the person in command certainly had control of the Aircraft

A possible flight path of Flight 370, from where it was last observed on radar in Penang, to Diego Garcia.

If the plane was headed towards Diego Garcia (which is under eight hours of flying time from Kuala Lumpur), it would have been captured on Indonesian radars as well, and it was likely to have crossed over Indonesia. But unlike Malaysia, Indonesia is a defacto Globalist client state, and would immediately cover up such information. Australia also has a sophisticated radar network, but we haven’t heard from them either.

Apart from radar, there is also other “live” data associated with commercial aircraft, which is not being discussed. To quote another user of the forum Davionics,

Why has nobody confirmed/announced if there were any transmissions sent via SATCOM? Seems to be the elephant in the room – the media currently appears to have an unhealthy tunneled obsession with; radar, ads-b, voice comms, gps, black boxes, etc.

Surely ACARS and engine telemetry data could shine a good dose of light on this incredibly sad fiasco.

Many aircraft today also have Panasonic Avionics high-bandwidth eXconnect GCS (Global Communications Suite) to augment SATCOM.

Investigators have now confirmed that such live data indicated that the plane continued to fly even after its last radar contact. The just won’t tell us when the data transmissions ended (which would indicate when the flight landed). To quote,

Throughout the roughly four hours after the jet dropped from civilian radar screens, these people said, the link operated in a kind of standby mode and sought to establish contact with a satellite or satellites. These transmissions did not include data, they said, but the periodic contacts indicate to investigators that the plane was still intact and believed to be flying.

Investigators are still working to fully understand the information, according to one person briefed on the matter. The transmissions, this person said, were comparable to the plane “saying I’m here, I’m ready to send data.”

And there is still no word about the signals from monitoring systems embedded in the plane’s Rolls-Royce PLC engines, which would have stopped when the plane landed.

Diego Garcia is the strongest US military-air force base in the Indian Ocean. It served as a forwarding base in almost all American conflicts in the Gulf and in Afghanistan.  It was also a transit venue for the infamous “extraordinary renditions.” It possesses formidable radar capabilities, as well as several airstrips. And large hangars that can hide aircraft. To quote a commenter on a pilot’s website who believed the plane was in Diego Garcia,

My speculation is of this being a super-duper, super-extraordinary form of rendition.

And most important of all, Diego Garcia has a staff who follow a code of not asking too many questions and keeping their eyes wide shut. Unlike Malaysia, there are no General Dauds in Diego Garcia, who would blurt out what they saw on military radar.

Air Force One at Diego Garcia

American military aircraft at Diego Garcia.

Good Times?

An American aircraft carrier at Diego Garcia.

Why Malaysia?

The presence of a large number of Chinese passengers on board the doomed flight is being used to strain relations between Communist China and Malaysia, and it may contribute to a future deterioration of their relationship, resulting in increased justification of Chinese presence in the region, and maybe even future Chinese aggression. This may also help explain why a Malaysian plane was targeted, as opposed to an Indonesian plane (Indonesia is already in the hands of the Globalists, and therefore never gets any brinkmanship from Communist China, which is a creation of the Globalists).

Malaysia is probably the only country in the world whose recent leadership has openly criticized the IMF, Israel, the War on Terror and made claims that 9/11 was an Inside Job. Malaysia has a bustling economy, but the Globalists prefer plantation style economies, such as neighbouring Indonesia, which is completely under Globalist control. Since Malaysia cannot be subject to the so-called War on Terror unless they start openly supporting Al-Qaida, the only other alternative the Globalists have is to feed it to China, and the Panda will invite itself for lunch, Al-Qaida or not.

Mainstream media has repeatedly stressed at Chinese impatience with Malaysian “incompetence.” While it is true that the present mess would not have been possible unless many Malaysian officials were compromised, so were many officials of other governments involved in the search and rescue efforts. And despite such high level corruption, the deliberately concealed fact that the plane had reversed course and moved Westwards did come out, albeit in a muffled way. It is unlikely that such disclosure would have ever happened in any of the neighbouring Globalist-dominated countries.

Compared to Globalist dominated Indonesia, Malaysia has gotten away with prosperity. But for how long?

Other Odd Ends

• Initially there were reports of some passengers who did not board the plane, but then Malaysian authorities were forced to “retract” their statements. Passengers connected to the Global Elite usually receive advance warnings.
• Flight 370 had 20 employees of Texas based Freescale Semiconductors. It would be interesting to know what their latest projects were. It is unclear whether or not the company counted the NSA among its clients. To quote Wikipedia on the company,

• 
  

In the 1960s, one of the U. S. space program’s goals was to land a man on the moon and return him safely to Earth [Not Quite!]. In 1968, NASA began manned Apollo flights that led to the first lunar landing in July 1969. Apollo 11 was particularly significant for hundreds of employees involved in designing, testing and producing its electronics. A division of Motorola, which became Freescale Semiconductor, supplied thousands of semiconductor devices, ground-based tracking and checkout equipment, and 12 on-board tracking and communications units. An “up-data link” in the Apollo’s command module received signals from Earth to relay to other on-board systems. A transponder received and transmitted voice and television signals and scientific data.

[.......] and Motorola’s MPC5200 microprocessor deployed telematic systems for General Motors’ OnStar systems.

[.......] In addition, a recent ABI Research market study report states that Freescale owns 60% share of the Radio Frequency (RF) semiconductor device market.

[.......] Also in 2011, Freescale announced the company’s first magnetometer for location tracking in smart mobile devices.

• Confirmation of Iranian passengers travelling on false European passports. While they have been ruled out as hijackers, the Powers That Be sometimes do use Iranians for dirty work. There was also an attempt to portray them as favourably as possible.
• If a missile destroyed Flight 370, the missile would have left a radar signature (Thanks to Mike Adams).
• Boeing 777 commercial jets are equipped with black box recorders that can survive any on-board explosion, and they transmit locator signals for at least 30 days after falling into the ocean (Thanks to Mike Adams).
• Many parts of destroyed aircraft are naturally bouyant and will float in water (Thanks to Mike Adams), and would have been noticed if there was a crash at sea.
• Some relatives of passengers claim that calls placed to their cellphones are ringing! Passenger social media accounts on the Chinese social media QQ site show the passengers to be online!
• Conspiracy Forums are abuzz with rumours of the plane being diverted to Diego Garcia.
• America has jumped into the investigation, subtly suggesting that the captain went mad (The Iranians don’t seem to interest them). But that’s what they said about EgyptAir Flight 990, which was returning to Egypt with more than 30 military officers who had trained in America. They are mum about the radars at Diego Garcia picking up anything unusual.
• Airport security camera photographs of the two men travelling on fake passports have been shooped! The younger man (left) was identified as Pouiria Nur Mohammad Mehrdad, 19, said by police in Malaysia to be an Iranian asylum seeker on his way to Germany to meet his mother. The older man (right) remains unknown. But this still does not explain why the legs (and bag) of the older guy were shooped onto Mehrdad’s torso. There are also many other discrepancies in the passenger list, such as people who were reported to be on the flight now claiming to be at home.
• 
  
• 

Watch those legs and bag!

Resources

Professional Pilots Rumour Network (Note that this is a fairly technical forum, and conspiracy theories are being deleted)

A Malaysian Source (Regularly Updated)

Maps of the supposed flight route.

CNN coverage (Warning Disinfo)

Several aggregated newsfeeds

Coverage on the Wall Street Journal (Warning Disinfo)

@http://www.cabaltimes.com